The title of the Washington Post editorial reaction to the Obama veto at the UN
Abbas proves he prefers posturing to a peace process is, finally, correct. This characteristic of the Palestinian leadership should have been obvious to the western media ever since Oslo, but it looks as if the editorial is more an offense taken to Abbas's disregard for the Post's esteemed president and less a recognition of its own failure or refusal to see reality for what it was.
The Post fails to face the fact that Abbas's rebuff is the direct result of Obama's disastrous policies, not the least of which is his stupid handling of the veto itself (Elliott Abrams:
How to Lose Friends and Not Influence People), and judging by the events in the Middle-East, the US ain't seen nothing yet (Lawrence Solomon:
The next oil crisis). In fact the US may well be driven out of the Middle East altogether (
Mideast unrest puts US military access in jeopardy), fulfilling the strategy of Iran and the islamists. Having given Abbas an American pretext to stall the "peace talks", having cut Mubarak's support from underneath Abbas (and proven to the pro-American Arab regimes that the US is disloyal to its allies and impotent as a power), what did Obama (and the Post) expect Abbas would do?
The Post claims that
"The only effect of the Palestinian initiative will be to embarrass the Obama administration at a delicate moment, when popular uprisings around the Middle East already are challenging pro-American leaders."
But Obama kept embarrassing himself by his ignorance of Middle-East realities and the incompetence of his administration foreign and domestic policies. It is Obama who triggered the chain-reaction that are is now challenging the US, by unceremoniously kicking Mubarak out in an honor-shame driven Middle East. And it is Obama, not Abbas, who conditioned the peace talks on the Jews stopping building in the West Bank. He did this in an attempt to realign the US with the
strong horse in the Middle East, the islamists, in the aftermath of American self-inflicted decline, deluding himself that appeasement will save America’s influence in the Middle-East.
According to the Post Abbas's action "Conceivably, could cause Arab protests now focused on autocratic rule to take an ugly anti-American turn." But any collapse of the authoritarian regimes in the Middle East would have taken this turn no matter what the US did. That's because the Arab street has always been anti-American and not just because of support of their dictators. This is something the west refuses to accept.
Second, such turn would certainly materialize when the US proved itself to be both disloyal to its allies, appeasing its enemies and impotent. Policies of "engagement" are ineffective in the Middle East: they are interpreted as weakness and invite merciless pounding, not appreciation. Obama did not learn much from Carter's failure, but Qaradawi and the islamists did.
Mr. Abbas has known all of this all along. Yet he refused to set aside the resolution even when the administration offered a generous compromise - a proposed "presidential statement" from the Security Council criticizing Israeli settlements as well as the firing of rockets at Israel from Gaza.
Actually, nobody really knew until the veto came what Obama would do, possibly not even Obama himself. From his past policies and pronouncements it was widely and reasonably suspected that he would for the first time in US history, withdraw support for Israel. After all, why would he veto a resolution that reiterated his own policy (the pretext used by Abbas to disengage from talks)? In the circumstances Abbas could have well believed that either Obama would not veto, or, if he did veto, against all 14 other members of the UNSC, he would expose America's isolation. The absurd and inconsistent statement by Rice following the veto clearly demonstrates that such an assumption was well founded.
"Mr. Abbas's stubbornness might seem spectacularly self-defeating - but only if one assumes that he is genuinely interested in a peace deal. In fact, the U.N. gambit allows him to posture as a champion of the Palestinian cause without having to consider any of the hard choices that would be needed to found a Palestinian state. It enables him to deflect criticism from the rival Hamas movement about his friendly relations with the United States. It might even allow him to head off a popular Palestinian rebellion against his own autocratic behavior - Mr. Abbas has failed to schedule overdue elections, including for his own post as president."
But it is precisely that false assumption that the Post and the rest of the western media has systematically supported, promoted and instigated, ignoring and distorting the reality of the conflict that did not square with that delusion. The Oslo failure rests almost entirely on the western policies predicated on this false assumption, for which the western media was a core enabler, as media monitors such as CAMERA, Palestinian Media Watch and serious bloggers demonstrated with regularity.
And now the Post is blaming Abbas for what is essentially the predictable consequence of the west's own disastrous policies, in which the Post has been fully complicit. The Post lists the many advantages Abbas derives from disregarding Obama's last minute, hardly believable threats, for which Obama is fully responsible. The US having brought Abbas to this point, the Post now expect him to act against what he, rather than the US administration, perceives to be his own interest, let alone survival? After all he rode the US horse for financial benefit and pressure on Israel, and it now proves to be not a strong horse anymore. In the current atmosphere in the Middle East, with Mubarak support gone and Saudia's Abdullah thrashing Obama and seeking Iran, and raising Islamism, what was Abbas most likely to do?
"The Obama administration has all along insisted that Mr. Abbas is willing and able to make peace with Israel - despite considerable evidence to the contrary. If the U.N. resolution veto has one good effect, perhaps it will be to prompt a reevaluation of a leader who has repeatedly proved both weak and intransigent."
Despite evidence to the contrary? How disingenuous. For very little of this evidence appeared in the Post and the rest of the western media. Indeed, the Post published even Hamas opinions suggesting that even that anti-semitic, genocidal terrorist organization, openly committed to jihad against all infidels was willing and able to make peace with Israel.
It was not just the Obama administration, but in fact all US administrations since Oslo, including Bush's in its last couple of years, that persisted in this delusion and undertook policies of blind support for the Palestinians and pressure on Israel for concessions that guaranteed we would be today exactly where we are. In this the western media is a core accomplice.
Abbas has been weak and intransigent because of Palestinian culture and western misguided policies. What excuse does Obama have for being the same? A reevaluation is indeed long due, not of Abbas, but rather of the US and western policies, the competence of the Obama administration, as well as of the media's professionalism and objectivity.
But, as the editorial and the pathetic statement by the Obama administration following the veto demonstrate, this won't happen. And given the current developments in the Middle East unleashed by Obama, I very much doubt that it would do much good.
Serves the US right for having supported the Palestinians for more than six decades and enriched their corrupt and treacherous leaders.
My guess is that this is the last veto by the US and that it will entirely succumb to the Palestinians. Ah, the fruits of ignorance and stupidity and how a superpower is bound to self-destruct. Ask Rome.
UPDATE: An understanding similar to mine of Abbas's strategy facilitated by Obama from Shai Franklin (Why Israel can still rely on U.S. support at the UN).The critical part: "The Arabs rejected the U.S. proposal, for the same reason the U.S. offered it. They don't care whether the Council issues anything, be it a full-fledged resolution or a less formal statement. They care about forcing the United States to veto a tactical resolution now so we'll have less credibility later on when a vote on Palestinian statehood comes before the Council."
UPDATE: The US was one word away from dropping the veto. The NYT:
"The U.S. vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution Friday that would have declared continued Israeli settlements in the West Bank "illegal" after the U.S. failed to persuade the Palestinian Authority to change the text [to "illegitimate"] so that the Obama administration could support it."
UPDATE: CAMERA:
A New Low: New York Times Running Interference for Yusuf Qaradawi
For the past several weeks, The New York Times has been running interference for the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist organization set to play a significant role in Egyptian politics after the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak. In addition to publishing commentaries by two apologists for the Muslim Brotherhood, Tariq Ramadan and Essam El-Errian, on its op-ed page, the Times has published a news story that depicts the group’s spiritual leader, Yusuf Qaradawi, as “committed to pluralism and democracy.”