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Monday, October 31, 2011

Comments on reads 10/31 II

David Pryce-Jones: A Shameful Stand-off

As an urgent exercise in public relations, he has to get across that he’s not your usual blood-stained Arab dictator but just doing what anybody would do in his position. So he gives an interview to the Sunday Telegraph, a media outlet supposed to be conservative. Sure enough, Andrew Gilligan, an investigative journalist and no fool, gives Bashar the chance to describe himself as a perfectly normal chap, living in a bungalow without security, driving his own car to take the kids to school, concluding, “That’s why I am popular.” What he’s bringing, he wants Gilligan to report, is stability, keeping down the ill-wishers of the Muslim Brotherhood paid and armed to create trouble. The pitch is that everyone should back his stand against the Islamists. “If you play with the ground you will cause an earthquake … Do you want to see another Afghanistan, or tens of Afghanistan?”

“I will do such things —” raved King Lear, “What they are yet I know not, but they shall be the terrors of the earth.” Bashar’s threats of more Afghanistans reveals how deeply he fears Western intervention, and like King Lear would ward it off with rhetoric, the only available weapon. What we have here, then, is a shameful stand-off between an individual who has no idea what to do except kill, and the international collective that has no idea at all, period.

FP: Everybody is talking about deterring Iran but there is conclusive evidence that Iran is deterring the West.

 

J Street Calls on Congress to Maintain American Contributions to UNESCO, Other UN Institutions

WASHINGTON — J Street today called on Congress to amend US law to preserve American contributions to the United Nations Economic, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). Those contributions are threatened by provisions of existing law prohibiting such funding following UNESCO member states' decision today to grant the Palestinians full membership.

'Failure to avert American defunding and disengagement from UNESCO, which the United States rejoined under President George W. Bush in 2003, would deal a painful blow to US influence and standing in the world. In addition to undermining our own national interests, it would also deprive Israel of its most vocal and powerful advocate in a key UN organ,' said Dylan Williams, J Street's Director of Government Affairs.

FP: The “pro-Israel jews”: upside down and backwards. Look at the influence its contribution has brought to US: it ignored its wishes to reject the Palestinian application.

 

Greg Palast: Goldman Sachs vs. Occupy Wall Street [It´s YOUR money!]

FP: The logical conclusion of the corporate welfare state – Wall Street replacing the government. If the government wants to fund community banks, why funnell the funds via Wall Street sharks?

 

Foreclosure firm has Halloween party dressed as depressed homeowners

Based on their Halloween costumes from last year, it would not be surprising if employees from foreclosure firm giant Steven J. Baum dressed up this year as homeowners who've lost their property thanks to firms like them.

In a column from The New York Times Joe Nocera, a former employee of the Baum firm revealed that his former co-workers did indeed dress as downtrodden individuals with signs representing their depressed state. The ex-Baum employee, who Nocera kept anonymous, told the Times reporter that she wanted to show how the firm had a 'cavalier attitude' towards foreclosing people's homes.

After getting word of Nocera's story, the firm vehemently defended itself, saying the column was 'another attempt by The New York Times to attack our firm and our work.'

The Baum firm represents virtually all the prominent mortgage lending Wall Street giants, including Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo.

FP: Signs of societal decay.

Jim Lane on the government’s energy loans disasters

FP: Want to see the kind of incompetence, corruption and waste that sinks America? Here is some.

Trick and Treat: Energy loans under review, as Hallowe’en looms

The Obama Administration got tricked, and handed out some bad energy loan candy.
Turns out that the Washington press corps, and House Republicans, were asleep on the job, too. Until the money ran out, that is.
We’re not sure if there’s been any more perfect timing for an Obama Administration announcement, than the news that it will start up an investigation of the DOE loan guarantee program just as Hallowe’en weekend got underway.
Hallowe’en, is of course, the time of disguise, the celebration of the macabre, and the ghostly return of the dead to haunt you.
Not a bad description, overall, for the Solyndra loan. But there was substantial evidence that the loan guarantee process was fundamentally broken, over two years ago.
“Today,” announced White House chief of staff Bill Daley, “we are directing that an independent analysis be conducted of the current state of the Department of Energy loan portfolio, focusing on future loan monitoring and management,”  “While we continue to take steps to make sure the United States remains competitive in the 21st century energy economy, we must also ensure that we are strong stewards of taxpayer dollars.”
Today. As in the end of October 2011. But, let’s rewind the tape two years.

The signs in 2009

On Friday, Politico reported that Rep. Cliff Stearns (R-Fla.), chairman of the House Energy and Commerce oversight subcommittee, said, “In August 2009, the staff on the Department of Energy indicated that Solyndra would go prophetically bankrupt in September 2011.”
Well, it is high Washington fashion this fall, even more popular than the latest from Lagerfeld, Chanel or Dior, to trash the Solyndra loan. It looks like “Obamacare meets Watergate Junior”, to a lot of Republicans on the Hill.
The fact that the US government doubled-down, by allegedly subordinating the loan to investments by a pair of hedge funds, during a Solyndra financial reorganization, is going to cost Energy Secretary a headache when he heads to a November 17th hearing on Capitol Hioll, and possibly more.
But House Republicans and the general media missed a lot of signals themselves, that something was awry in clean energy financing and funding, way back in 2009.
In 2009, we reported:
“$32.9 billion in total funding announced, including grants and loan guarantees. Impressive! But just $17.44 billion for the private sector, the street – nearly half of that in loan guarantees rather than outright funding. The rest of it went to government (although, some went in state block grants that may, in turn, have some portion that finds its way to the street; and some of that went to the utility sector, in which there are private companies). Seems to me that government announcing a grant to government is double-counting. Call me stupid – isn’t that just an allocation?”

Why did so much energy funding get funneled to electric and clean vehicles, not energy?

We warned that an awfully high percentage of the funding was being shifted into specific industries, for reasons we could not fathom:
“Electric and “clean” vehicle technology received $2.9 billion — that’s $500 million more than the entire support for the solar, biofuels, wind, hydro, and geothermal investments which are supposed to provide the renewable molecules and electrons to power said vehicles.”
Why did coal receive more clean energy treats than biomass and biofuels?
We noted that, somehow, the coal industry had received more funding than biofuels and biomass put together – this, in a clean energy financing round:
“Of the $32 billion, $792 million has gone directly to biofuels or biomass — 2.4 percent. That’s 29 percent less than went to coal – which I thought was the energy we were supposed to be transitioning away from, rather than investing in.”

How did researchers in DOE labs end up costing the taxpayer $500,000 per year, each?

In fall 2009, we noted that a program “to support at least 50 early career researchers for five years at US academic institutions and DOE national laboratories,” received more than nuclear energy R&D, so far this year, or hydroelectric power development, or fuel cell research.”
That program received $85 million for salaries and the expenses of the organizations that do the hiring. In all, it was $1,700,000 per researcher, or $340,000 per person per year. Interestingly, the university positions were for “summer salary and expenses” only. Only some of these positions — for DOE National Labs — were full time. Full-timers received $500,000 in funding, per person per year.
At the time, we pointed out that, according to salary.com, the average salary for an assistant professor in the United States is $62,654. Leaving $438,346 for DOE national lab “expenses”. Per person. Per year. That’s a lot of beakers.
And, we pointed out that it wasn’t exactly like a honeymoon for more exotic, fashionable projects like solar. Even as Solyndra was getting the come-on, a lot of projects were getting the shut out.

How macabre did energy financing get, and when did it get that way?

In 2009, Mike Carpenter, managing director of Energy Recovery Group in Oregon advised us, “My USDA Oregon rep sent me the contact information of 30 banks, all apparently designated USDA 90% guaranty, $10M – 3 of thirty responded.   One of the three followed up – we had a deal – all I have to do is:  Show 30% cash, 27 different documents, private and personal, and the killer, a separate, exclusive method or vehicle to pay for the project, not related to the project.  As a solar project, I need to show a 5-year payoff. I called the other 27 banks just to check – the FDIC answered twice, we aren’t lending any money, we don’t have anyone smart enough to analyze a solar deal, on and on.”
We decline to fall in with the general expressions of “shock and horror” on Capitol Hill that Solyndra failed. Even if it is Hallowe’en, and “trick or treat” is in the air. Or, is that “trick, and you’ll get a treat too”?
For us, there was enough evidence on the table in 2009 that any self-respecting auditor might have issued a “substantial doubt, going concern” notice on the Administration’s financing programs way back in 2009. That the broader media didn’t pick up on what was broadly distributed in trade media two years ago, tells you just about what you need to know about the state of the Washington press corps.

When the treats run out, it’s time to soap the windows

The fact that Congress didn’t pick up on any of this, until the loan guarantee program was just about over, the funding wells were dry, and there was no more lipstick left for pigs, tells you just about what you need to know about Washington itself.
Now and through November, the Washington press corps and the House of Representatives will shine its jack-o’-lanterns on the macabre world of the DOE and the Obama Administration’s energy financing goals and achievements. They may well find a landscape of activity that reminds one more of out-takes from Thriller than a well-run financing program. There’s bound to be dirty laundry mixed in with some genuinely good loans, and well-meaning goals.
But the afore-mentioned watchdogs might do well to drop the we-are-the-champions costumery this year, and tramp the streets of Washington wearing hair shirts — or at least the latest sleepwear, to reflect what they have been up to most of the past two years.

The Bottom Line: No Great Pumpkin, and rocks again

Treats for a lot of companies and individuals.
For the long-suffering public, saddled with bad loans, and still not end in sight to the dependence on foreign loans – as it is each year in It’s the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown: no great pumpkin in sight, and rocks in the Hallowe’en sack, all over again.
To all of the above, we offer the traditional Hallowe’en (and theater) greeting: Boo!
Jim Lane is editor and publisher of Biofuels Digest.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Collected links

Barry Rubin: REFLECTIONS ON THE REVOLUTION IN EGYPT

Caroline Glick: Whither the IDF?


Dror Eydar: Saint Thomas

Gov. Charles “Buddy” Roemer: Leadership, Free to Lead

The Urgency of Campaign-Finance Reform


Jonathan D. Halevi: Did the Libyan Leadership Deceive the West?

David Pryce-Jones: The Ephrussis Brought to Life

George Friedman: Libya and Iraq: The Price of Success


Daniel Pipes: Obama's Misplaced Mideast Optimism

In Mideast, U.S. Policy Is In Shambles


James Lewis: Captain America Abandons the Entire Middle East

October 1973: Panorama and Myopia
A gallery curated by Martin Kramer

Moshe Arens: Shalit release no cause for celebrations

CAMERA: Anti-Israel Propaganda Creeps Into World of Grand Opera

EU bank failures will crash Wall Street — again

Comments on reads 10/30

Rocket fire rocks south

South under fire again in wake of IAF attack in Gaza: Alarm sounds in various southern communities. Man hit by shrapnel in Gan Yavne; rocket hits school courtyard in Ashdod. Second barrage targets residential building, one injured. Islamic Jihad claims responsibility.

Renewed escalation: Hours after the IDF killed a terrorist cell which was behind the Grad rocket attack on south Israel earlier this week, three rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip at southern communities on Saturday. A couple of hours later there was a second rocket barrage. The MDA declared a mass-casualty event.

…The Home Front Command reissued emergency guidelines and canceled gatherings and conferences of over 500 people in Beersheba, Ashkelon, Ashdod, Gan Yavne and Yavne. Ashdod Mayor Yehiel Lasri said Saturday that the municipality is discussing whether to open schools on Sunday together with security officials. "We won't allow studies where there is no fortification," he said.

…On Saturday, least 20 projectiles, including Grads and mortar shells were fired at southern cities, hitting built-up areas in Ashdod, Ashkelon and regional councils across the region. A number of the rockets caused extensive damage to buildings.

FP: The predictable consequence of the Shalit deal -- terrorists emboldened by signals of weakness. Incidentally, when Palestinians accuse Israel of something you can rest assured that they are projecting from themselves e.g.

‘Israel planning Gaza attack to avoid Schalit deal phase 2'

Hamas spokesman says that Israel is seeking to ‘spoil’ Palestinian celebrations over prisoner release with a massive military attack.

In other words, this is what they would have done in similar circumstances. You can learn a lot about Palestinian culture from their accusations.

 

Netanyahu on escalation: 'There is no cease fire in South'

At weekly cabinet meeting in Safed, PM says terrorists will pay high price until attacks stop; Barak warns Hamas: Don't test us.

FP: Here's what I wrote on April 17th:

Since then Israel seems to have adopted the talk rather than act approach. For example, for years terrorists in Ghaza regularly bombarded Israel with rockets and other projectiles. Netanyahu, Barak, as well as other political and military leaders issued frequent threats but did not take action consistent with the seriousness of those threats. This prompted the terrorists to intensify their attacks, causing more and more property and human damage. Ultimately they forced a reluctant Israeli government to conduct the Cast Lead operation which ended up undecisively, just like in Lebanon, under US/international pressure. And it got Israel the Goldstone Report, which was worse than the condemnations over Lebanon.

Of course, the bombardments from Ghaza continued, with increasingly long ranges and recently intensified to a level similar to that preceding Cast Lead. Israel repeats the same routine: it issues strong threats, but it ends up just bombing tunnels and empty Hamas buildings.When it manages to kill a few terrorists, Hamas claims they were civilians, inviting international condemnation. The rockets continue to fly.

 When you gotta shoot, shoot, don't talk. Otherwise the Islamists will

 

Saudi prince backs cleric's bounty offer for Israeli soldier

A member of the Saudi royal family has pledged $900,000 to a bounty offered by a prominent cleric to any Palestinian who kidnaps an Israeli soldier, according to comments aired on a private TV station Saturday.

Prince Khaled bin Talal, a brother of Saudi billionnaire Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, told Daleel television over the phone that he decided to contribute to Awad al-Qarni's bounty after the Saudi cleric received death threats for offering $100,000 to capture an Israeli soldier.

"Dr Awad al-Qarni said he was offering $100,000 to only take a prisoner but they responded by offering $1 million to kill Awad al-Qarni," Prince Khaled said, according to a recording of the call published on Daleel's website.

"I tell Dr. Awad al-Qarni, 'I will be in solidarity with you and pay the remaining $900,000 to take an Israeli soldier prisoner so that other prisoners can be freed,'" he added.

FP: And another.

 

JoshuaPundit: Jewish UK MP Assaullted By Muslims While Meeting With Constituents

Tory MP Mike Freer was attacked by a mob of Muslims at North Finchley mosque in north London as he met with some of his constituents there after prayers on Friday afternoon.

They forced their way into the mosque and attempted to attack him, with with one of them screaming that he was a "Jewish homosexual pig". Freer was spirited into a locked room and was only able to leave after the police arrived.

Freer was apparently targeted by the group Muslims Against Crusades, who posted about the meeting on their website and urged Muslims to assault him, making reference to last years attack on Labour MP Stephen Timms, who represents East Ham and was stabbed during a similar meeting in east London last year. The group's website said that the attack on MP Timms should be a "piercing reminder" to politicians that "their presence is no longer welcome in any Muslim area".

The police, amazingly, didn't make any arrests when they arrived, but merely escorted Freer out of the area. Apparently making violent threats against a member of Parliament and assaulting him is no longer a crime in the UK....if it's done by the right people.

What the BBC isn't telling you but I have from a confidential source is that there was a meeting afterwards at the mosque at which members of Muslims Against Crusades and other hardliners made specific threats against the mosque and its administrators if they ever allowed any similar occurrences.
The goal of these people is to eventually form a 'state within a state' inside Britain where Islam and sharia rule, where Muslims who might want to assimilate and co-exist with their non-Muslim neighbors are silenced and intimidated and where non-Muslims are persona non grata. They've already made significant progress towards that goal.

FP: This future of Europe is becoming present fast.

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Comments on reads 10/29 II

Adult Babies

Last Thursday was officially “Diaper Need Awareness Day” in the State of Connecticut. Were you aware of it? There are so many awareness-raising days, it’s hard to keep track. Maybe we could have an Awareness-Raising Day Awareness Day. At any rate, the first annual Diaper Need Awareness Day was proclaimed by Dan Malloy, governor of the Nutmeg State, and they had a big old awareness-raising get-together in New Haven. It’s not clear yet whether they’ve got an official ribbon. We’re running a bit low on ribbon colors these days: It’s not just pink ribbons for breast cancer, but also teal for agoraphobia, periwinkle for acid reflux, pink-and-blue ribbons for amniotic fluid embolisms, and pinstripe ribbons for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. We could use a Ribbon-Hue Awareness Day to raise awareness about how we’re falling behind in the race for more ribbon colors.

If you’re wondering what sentient being isn’t aware of diapers, you’re missing the point: Connecticut representative Rosa DeLauro is raising awareness of the need for diapers in order to, as Politico reported, “push the Federal Government to provide free diapers to poor families.” Congresswoman DeLauro has introduced the DIAPER Act — that’s to say, the Diaper Investment and Aid to Promote Economic Recovery Act. So don’t worry, it’s not welfare, it’s “stimulus.” As Fox News put it, “A U.S. congresswoman in Connecticut wants to boost the economy by offering free diapers to low-income families.” And, given that sinking bazillions of dollars into green-jobs schemes to build eco-cars in Finland and a federal program to buy guns for Mexican drug cartels and all the other fascinating innovations of the Obama administration haven’t worked, who’s to say borrowing money from the Chinese politburo and sticking it in your kid’s diaper isn’t the kind of outside-the-box thinking that will do the trick?

FP: This would be a reasonable argument to make had not the corporate welfare state robbed the public to pay the fraudsters and speculators who destroyed the economy (see next). The reality is that if the government paid for diapers the US would still be in much better shape than it is for bailing out Wall Street and political contributors’ failed investments. One could even claim superior morality for the former.

 

Matt Taibbi: Another Weapon for OWS: Pull Your Money Out of BofA

The government’s patronage of the bank was never clearer than in recent weeks, when B of A quietly decided to move trillions of dollars (trillions, not billions) in risky Merrill Lynch derivatives contracts off Merrill’s books and onto the books of the parent/retail arm, Bank of America.

This decision was done at the behest of counterparties to those transactions, who wanted those contracts placed under the aegis of Bank of America, whose deposits are insured by the FDIC. The move was made, according to reports, so that Bank of America could avoid posting $3.3 billion in collateral to satisfy the company’s creditors. In other words, Bank of America just got You the Taxpayer to co-sign as much as $53 trillion worth of dicey derivative contracts.

The FDIC wasn’t pleased by the move, but the Fed apparently encouraged it. Bloomberg, citing people with “direct knowledge” of the deals, reported that,

The Fed has signaled that it favors moving the derivatives to give relief to the bank holding company, while the FDIC, which would have to pay off depositors in the event of a bank failure, is objecting, said the people. The bank doesn’t believe regulatory approval is needed, said people with knowledge of its position.

So the primary regulator of the banking industry is encouraging a functionally insolvent megabank to respond to a credit downgrade by pushing its most explosively risky holdings onto the laps of the taxpayer. This is lunacy…. Remember that story about the Chinese man who had a world-record 33-pound tumor removed from his face? This would be like treating that patient by removing the tumor and surgically attaching it to the face of a new patient, in this case the U.S. taxpayer.

FP: See what I mean? What is more, this is a repetition of exactly the same past robberies supported by the Fed against the FDIC (see Ron Suskind's CONFIDENCE MEN, highly recommended). So we know how this robbery will end too.

 

Suicide bombing of NATO convoy kills 17

KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) -- A Taliban suicide bomber rammed a vehicle into an armored NATO bus Saturday, killing 17 people, including 12 Americans and a Canadian in the deadliest attack on the U.S.-led coalition in Kabul since the war began. It was a major setback for the alliance as it begins to draw down combat troops.

The explosion sparked a fireball and littered the street with shrapnel and twisted metal hulks. Heavy black smoke poured from burning wreckage at the site along the four-lane highway frequently used by foreign military trainers in the southwestern section of the city.

Underscoring the difficulties ahead, the brazen assault occurred on the same day that top NATO and Afghan officials were meeting elsewhere in Kabul to discuss the second phase of shifting security responsibilities to Afghan forces in all or part of 17 of the country's 34 provinces.

FP: It’s beginning to look like the NATO retreat will not be any different than the Soviet retreats or, for that matter, all the previous foreign retreats from Afghanistan, all of them for naught. Which was readily predictable.

Friday, October 28, 2011

Comments on reads 10/28 II

Bail Out Eurozone..In Exchange For...
China has cleverly agreed to help the EU out of the pit it dug for itself...but with certain conditions.
FP: Is this the PostWest or what?
They obviously want financial guarantees on their investment. What they also want is in essence a silent veto on criticism or opposition to China's policies, like its opposition to sanctions on Iran, any disagreements with the US or China's currency policy, which artificially undervalues the renminbi to support Chinese exports at the expense of western producers.
If they get that, China could be willing to throw substantial amounts into the EFSF, the EU's bailout fund. Another possibility that's being looked at is a new fund set up under China's auspices in collaboration with the IMF.
French President Sarkozy is already prepared to take China's terms. “Our independence would not be put into question by this,” he said in a television interview. “Why would we not accept that the Chinese had confidence in the eurozone and place a part of their surpluses in our funds or our banks? Would you rather they placed it with the US?”



'We have to negotiate with the Israelis peacefully'
PA President Abbas: We will not launch a war with Israel if there's no progress in peace process, peaceful negotiations are part of Palestinian culture; "We are not ready to turn back to violence."
FP: There’s no need – the West will get them everything they want, with Israel’s cooperation.


Syrian forces kill 40, protesters demand int'l protection
Bloodshed in Hama, Homs; protesters call upon international community to impose no-fly zone; UN says over 3,000 killed in violence since March.
FP: The West does not have the guts to take on Iran.


Crony Capitalism Comes Home
I’m as passionate a believer in capitalism as anyone. My Krzysztofowicz cousins (who didn’t shorten the family name) lived in Poland, and their experience with Communism taught me that the way to raise living standards is capitalism.
But, in recent years, some financiers have chosen to live in a government-backed featherbed. Their platform seems to be socialism for tycoons and capitalism for the rest of us. They’re not evil at all. But when the system allows you more than your fair share, it’s human to grab. That’s what explains featherbedding by both unions and tycoons, and both are impediments to a well-functioning market economy.
FP: Efficient markets can exist when no individual or firm alone has the capacity to affect the market and when government is there to ensure that. Neither of these conditions apply to the corporate welfare state.

Comments on reads 10/28

Sigmund, Carl and Alfred: Sign Of The Day

signoftheday

FP: To laugh or cry?

 

America’s New CIO Wants To Disrupt Government And Make It A Startup

As an example, [the Federal CIO] mentioned the Defense Department’s human resources management system. Dubbed the “Defense Integrated Military Human Resource System,” the project was meant to take seven years to develop. Instead, it took 10, cost $850 million and had to be scrapped after 10 years of development in 2010 because it ended up being useless.

FP: In case you did not have enough reasons why the US is bankrupt.

 

Another LIRR Pension Scandal Brewing

The LIRR is one of the nation's biggest commuter rail systems and the New York Times uncovered massive pension fraud in a 2008 expose. Now, the feds have arrested 10 people in what has amounted to a billion dollar scam to receive pension benefits that were undeserving.

Think about what a billion dollars could do for the LIRR. That's a one followed by nine zeroes. 1,000,000,000. It could buy a solvent pension system that does what it was intended to do by servicing all eligible employees in a fair and just manner. It could buy hundreds of railcars. It could upgrade signal and rail systems. It could renovate stations throughout the system to bring them up to modern standards.

Instead, it's a billion dollars that was siphoned silently from the system and commuters and taxpayers paid for it.

FP: And here’s yet another reason.

 

Hamas boosting anti-aircraft arsenal with looted Libyan missiles

The improved quality of anti-aircraft missiles held by Hamas in Gaza is increasingly worrying the Israeli defense establishment. Hamas recently managed to smuggle relatively advanced Russian missiles, which were looted from Libyan military warehouses, into the Gaza Strip. Israel is worried about the presence of the missiles, both because they curb the air force's almost unlimited freedom of movement over Gaza today, and because of their possible use against civil aviation in Eilat.

The United States is also worried by the developments. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who visited Libya last week, announced the U.S. would grant the new Libyan regime millions of dollars in aid in an attempt to fight the arms smuggling. American experts expressed their fears in particular over the transfer of shoulder-launched missiles to terrorists, and said the aid was intended to allow the Libyans to locate where such weapons are stored - and destroy them.

FP: It is not enough that the West has brought Islamists to power, as I predicted it will also pump millions into them. Fight the arms smuggling? They are the smugglers. I am beginning to think that the West is too stupid to deserve survival.

 

Bad Guys vs. Worse Guys in Afghanistan

Nur-ul Haq is the commander of the Afghan Local Police in Shahabuddin. Since last winter, he has been primarily responsible for the security of the several thousand families living there. As one of the elders warily eyed two men in turbans squatting under some nearby shade, he told me that Haq and his local police had been felling people’s trees and selling them as timber. Another of the elders joined in and named three men whom he accused Haq of murdering. “These three murders are known to everyone,” he said. “Nobody knows how many others he has killed.” The former principal of a local school said that he and his eight brothers were forced to leave their village after they reported to the government that the local police had seized their family’s land. “Nur-ul Haq threatened to come with tanks and take us all out of our home and kill us if we continued to complain about him,” the man claimed, adding that he and his brothers were considering moving to Pakistan.

FP: The lost cause and strategic blunder of nation building in the Middle East.

Thursday, October 27, 2011

Comments on reads 10/27 II

JoshuaPundit: The EU's Big Fat Greek Bailout
The EU leaders, led by Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel and France's President Nicholas Sarkozy have reached a deal for a second Greek bailout.
The deal involves a new €130 billion bailout of Greece by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (which means American taxpayers are going to take a bite of this particular sandwich), and acceptance by current Greek bond holders of fifty percent of face value and a increase in the EU's bailout fund to over €1 trillion.
As Chancellor Merkel announced with a straight face, the goal of all this manipulation is to get Greece's debt down to - wait for it - a mere 120% of the country's gross domestic product by 2020. President Sarkozy announced that he would hit up the Chinese to see if they're willing to pony up any cash to help in supporting the fund.

If this all seems like simply kicking the can down the road, I couldn't agree more. And that's going to become even more obvious when further bailouts are needed for countries like Spain, Ireland and Portugal, among others.
FP: Europe going hat in hand to China to sell itself out to it (China has already been funding the US). And the Jewish Parliament is not much different than EU’s:


MP Sacha Baron Cohen, David Beckham for election?
The European Jewish Parliament's slate of candidates does not bode well for its ability to be taken seriously.
Are we in the PostWest or what?

Soccer Dad: Blair's history
Tony Blair was interviewed by Edmond Sanders of the LA Times. Blair said something incredible.
Has either side provided the quartet with a detailed proposal yet?
The Palestinians, of course, did table a proposal in the last talks that they had in Annapolis [Maryland in 2008 during the Bush administration]. They were detailed, significant proposals, on borders at least, in and around land swaps. This Israeli government has not produced such a proposal, and that's obviously one thing we have to explore with them.
What is Blair talking about? In 2008 Israel (PM Olmert) made a detailed offer to Abbas. Abbas rejected it. Is there another proposal that Blair is talking about or did he just reverse reality? (It seems that the proposal being referred to is one made to the Quartet directly. If that's indeed what Blair's talking about - and I've found no indication that such a proposal exists, though I haven't looked very hard - why should it have greater force than a proposal offered by one party to the other?
FP: What did I tell you? The more outrageous and rejectionist the Palestinians become, the more pressure the Quartet will apply to Israel. And when it comes to pushing Israel, Obama is leading from upfront:

US asks Israel for additional settlement freeze
Army Radio: U.S. Ambassador Dan Shapiro delivers latest request for Judea and Samaria building freeze during a visit with Interior Minister Eli Yishai • Ultra-Orthodox paper: U.S. may free Jonathan Pollard if Israel agrees to a construction freeze.
More evidence that Obama’s desperate striving to not be on the bad side of the Islamists it has brought to power overwhelms his ability to learn from his mistake regarding settlements. But to be honest, if Netanyahu caves again, can it really be deemed a mistake? Well, the delusion of appeasing the Islamists is a giant one.
As to Pollard, it looks as if the Obama administration has learned from Hezbollah, Hamas and Egypt what is Israel’s main weakness and exploits them too. Perhaps the Quartet should arrest some Israelis too.
I barely completed the previous paragraph when I came across this:
Israel agrees to submit borders proposal to Quartet
Breaking from previous position, J'lem willing to come forward with comprehensive plan within three months; follows Blair meeting. In a departure from the government's previous policy, Israel is now agreeing to put forward a comprehensive proposal on borders within the next three months, according to a Quartet communiqué issued Thursday.
Note very carefully that the right of return and termination of conflict are not on the table. Don’t be surprised if Netanyahu signs an agreement without them. Israel will stop making concessions only when there’s nothing left to concede. In the same manner in which the West can’t get it through its collective head that Islamists cannot be appeased, Israel won’t comprehend that when it comes to the conflict, the West cannot be either—having collapsed, it now operates on the illusion of power, which is existentially dangerous for Israel and the Jews.

Israel Ruled by PR
Shalit prisoner swap proved that most powerful players in Israel are ‘salespeople’
Gilad Shalit left to Gaza as a soldier and returned to Israel as the country’s most beloved and media-covered brand. At this time, Shalit is not only a cherished brand name associated with the state, but rather, he is the state itself. Many parties played a role in turning Shalit into a loved consumer good. Prisoner swap critics like to blame the media for the “Shalit Festival” of recent weeks, yet in this case media outlets were no more than a relay station.
In recent years, extensive parts of Israel’s public discourse – ranging from well-known artists to anonymous Facebook status lines – partook in a calculated strategic move with one aim: Keeping Gilad in the headlines, at any price. After bringing him to the headlines, his way home was already paved.

The above should serve as a warning sign to Israeli society in respect to what lies ahead. The ad agency’s people took full credit for Shalit’s release, and it indeed appears that they deserve most of the credit. Their effort was felt throughout Israel’s media world and resonated in the Knesset corridors as well.

Although it’s hard to predict what lies in store, the Gilad Shalit case proved to us that in the fight for the Israeli psyche, the most powerful players are the “salespeople,” and they take no prisoners.
FP: Given where America is today, Israel—whose circumstances are acutely different—Americanizes itself at its peril.

Comments on reads 10/27

 

Top Earners Doubled Share of Nation’s Income, Study Finds

The top 1 percent of earners more than doubled their share of the nation’s income over the last three decades, the Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday, in a new report likely to figure prominently in the escalating political fight over how to revive the economy, create jobs and lower the federal debt.

In addition, the report said, government policy has become less redistributive since the late 1970s, doing less to reduce the concentration of income.

“The equalizing effect of federal taxes was smaller” in 2007 than in 1979, as “the composition of federal revenues shifted away from progressive income taxes to less-progressive payroll taxes,” the budget office said.

Also, it said, federal benefit payments are doing less to even out the distribution of income, as a growing share of benefits, like Social Security, goes to older Americans, regardless of their income.

In its report, the budget office found that from 1979 to 2007, average inflation-adjusted after-tax income grew by 275 percent for the 1 percent of the population with the highest income. For others in the top 20 percent of the population, average real after-tax household income grew by 65 percent.

By contrast, the budget office said, for the poorest fifth of the population, average real after-tax household income rose 18 percent.

And for the three-fifths of people in the middle of the income scale, the growth in such household income was just under 40 percent.

Also cited as factors contributing to the rapid growth of income at the top were the structure of executive compensation; high salaries for some “superstars” in sports and the arts; the increasing size of the financial services industry; and the growing role of capital gains, which go disproportionately to higher-income households.

The report found that higher-income households got a larger share of the pie, while other households got smaller shares.

FP: As this trend accelerates – as it does in crises – it won’t be sustainable and this ain’t nothing yet. (see also next).

 

Phillip Longman: The Cure

The politics of debt have gotten so insane that both parties are on the verge of gutting Medicare. The moment might be right to actually fix it.

…All but six Republicans in the House of Representatives have voted to turn Medicare into a voucher program—a vision endorsed by all the GOP’s major presidential candidates as well. Under the proposal, famously crafted by Representative Paul Ryan, each senior citizen would receive only a fixed amount of money (about $8,000 on average in 2022) to spend on private health care insurance each year, regardless of what his or her health care needs and costs might actually be. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that under the plan, seniors would pay about 68 percent of their health care costs out of their own pockets in 2030, as compared to 25 percent to 30 percent under traditional Medicare.

Democrats rightly characterize this plan as “ending Medicare as we know it,” but both President Obama and party leaders agree that deep cuts in Medicare spending must happen soon. “With an aging population and rising health care costs, we are spending too fast to sustain the program,” the president told a joint session of Congress on September 8. As part of his most recent deficit reduction plan, he has proposed $248 billion in Medicare savings over the next ten years. This includes higher copays for many beneficiaries and steep cuts in payments to providers. If you think Obama and the Democrats are bluffing, consider that the health care law they passed last year came with hundreds of millions in Medicare cuts and includes a mechanism that could cut vastly more. And though the president in September came out against Republican plans to raise the Medicare retirement age to sixty-seven, in the debt limit negotiations earlier this year he signaled his willingness to go along with it.

FP: We can’t afford Medicare because we bail out rich speculators and fraudsters and reward corporate managers for corruption and incompetence. And they wonder why the US is bankrupt and there is societal unrest?

 

Harold Meyerson: Steve Jobs and the Chinese Wall

Isaacson’s description may make it easier to understand Apple’s production process, in which its products were designed to a fare-thee-well in Apple’s tony Silicon Valley headquarters, but manufactured in China in Foxconn’s compound in Shenzhen, where hundreds of thousands of workers turned out all the iPods, iPads and iPhones that have delighted consumers the world over. We might not know about the Foxconn compound but for the spate of worker suicides there that shook the plant, the province, and China itself last year. When investigators and journalists ventured into the compound, they found a factory complex worthy of Fritz Lang’s Metropolis—300,000 workers, many of them still in their teens, working long hours at piddling wages to turn out the latest in Apple technology, then domiciled together ten in a room.

FP: Good old American genius, Jobs was.

 

‘44% of Italians have negative views of Jews’

Forty-four percent of Italians are prejudiced or hostile toward Jews, according to a study issued last week.

Deputy Fiamma Nirenstein, the committee’s chairwoman, told The Jerusalem Post on Tuesday that the findings were “very disturbing.” It was a “shock for everybody how much anti-Semitism in Italy and Europe” exists, she said.

“The first group (10%) holds the ‘traditional’ anti-Jewish stereotypical views, such as that ‘Jews are not fully Italian,’ ‘you can never really trust them,’ and ‘when it comes down to it, they have always lived at the expense of others,’ but reject the ‘contingent’ prejudices (toward Israel and the Shoah).”

The report continued that “the second group (11% of the population) only approve of the ‘modern’ stereotypical views, rejecting the ‘traditional’ and ‘contingent’ ones. They consider that ‘the Jews are rich and powerful,’ ‘they control and direct politics, the media and the banks,’ and moreover ‘they are more faithful to Israel than to the country of their birth.’” A “third group (12%) maintains ‘contingent’ convictions (‘all Jews use the Shoah to justify Israeli policy’), ‘they talk too much about their own tragedies disregarding other people’s,’ ‘Jews behave like Nazis with the Palestinians’), but they do not share the ‘traditional’ prejudices.”

FP: Well, what else are Italians gonna do when they go bankrupt?

 

Using Credit Cards to Target Web Ads

The two largest credit-card networks, Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc., are pushing into a new business: using what they know about people's credit-card purchases for targeting them with ads online.

Their plans, if implemented, would represent not only a technological feat—tying people's Internet lives with shopping activities—but also an erosion of the idea of anonymity on the Web. It's an effort by the two companies to profit by selling access to the insights they gather about people with every credit-card transaction.

The technology is still evolving. According to ad executives briefed on some of the ideas, a holy grail would be to show, for instance, a weight-loss ad to a person who just swiped their card at a fast-food chain—then track whether that person bought the advertised products. Currently, Web ads generally are based on a person's online behavior but not information tied to his or her identity or activities in the brick-and-mortar world.

In one particularly futuristic idea, a Visa patent application published this year describes incorporating information from DNA databanks, among other personal details, into profiles that could be used to target people online. [...]

FP: In communism, the government knew everything about and used it against you. In the corporate welfare state corporations know all about and exploit you, and they will sell your personal data to the highest bidder, regardless of how nefarious the purpose.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Comments on reads 10/26 II

The New Libya - run by Sharia law (via Elder of Ziyon)

FP: The Libyans reveal the core attraction of Sharia for men: polygamy. Ah, Arab democracy and progress.

Hal Brands & David Palkki: Nuclear Alarmism Justified? 
On March 27, 1979, Saddam Hussein, the de facto ruler and soon-to-be president of Baathist Iraq, laid out his vision for a long, grinding war against Israel in a private meeting of high-level Iraqi officials. Iraq, he explained, would seek to obtain a nuclear weapon from “our Soviet friends,” use the resulting deterrent power to counteract Israeli threats of nuclear retaliation, and thereby enable a “patient war”—a war of attrition—that would reclaim Arab lands lost in the Six-Day War of 1967. As Saddam put it, nuclear weapons would allow Iraq to “guarantee the long war that is destructive to our enemy, and take at our leisure each meter of land and drown the enemy with rivers of blood.” Saddam envisioned that this war would cost Iraq some 50,000 casualties, to say nothing of Israeli losses.
(h/t Elder of Ziyon)
FP: Most of the concern with the Iranian program is with the risk of actual use of the weapons against Israel. But as Saddam correctly understood, the real danger is the capacity to wage an attrition war under the nuclear umbrella.
 
Elder of Ziyon: Intransigent Abbas keeps on adding preconditions to talks
From The Telegraph:
The Quartet – which comprises the United States, the European Union, the United Nations and Russia – will hold separate talks with Israeli and Palestinian negotiators on Wednesday, the first contact of any kind that the two sides have had in 10 months.
But hopes for a breakthrough, never high to begin with, suffered a further setback as it emerged that Mr Abbas intended to hold Israel to a pledge made three years ago to release hundreds of Palestinian prisoners as a gesture to his moderate Fatah party.
Desperate to wring concessions of his own, Mr Abbas has reminded Israel of a promise made by its former prime minister, Ehud Olmert, to follow up any prisoner swap with Hamas by a similar deal with Fatah. Ahmad Tibi, an Israeli Arab MP with close links to Palestinian officials, said that Mr Abbas would now have no choice but to make fulfilment of the Olmert agreement a condition for renewing talks.

Over the summer, Abbas had three other preconditions that may still be in force: that the EU supports for reconciliation talks between Hamas and Fatah, that the EU supports the UN stunt, and a statement from the EU that the statehood stunt is not a contradiction to negotiations.
The upshot is that Abbas and his cronies are continuing their strategy of saying "no" to Israel, in hopes that by doing so they will get everything they demand without compromising. And as long as Western governments and the media do not call them on this duplicity, they have no incentive to change this strategy.
FP: Based on the historical record to date it is difficult to dismiss the possibility that both Netanyahu and the Quartet will cave and concede. And Abbas knows how to make them:
Palestinian Arab media are buzzing about a dark hint that Mahmoud Abbas gave in an interview with an Egyptian newspaper that he will reveal something "important and dangerous" that is happening soon.
There is some speculation that when the UN Security Council bid for statehood is defeated, and because of the inability of Fatah to successfully negotiate any elections with Hamas, together with Abbas' repeated promises not to run in any new elections for president of the PA, that Abbas may dissolve the PA altogether.
In fact, Saeb Erekat hinted at this yesterday, telling Palestine Radio "Either there is power to the movement of Palestinians from occupation to independence, or Netanyahu has to assume [Israel's] responsibilities seriously from the river to the sea."
Isn't that how people who crave independence act - by dissolving all the existing autonomy they have?
Arabs play appeasers like a violin. Wanna bet? (see next)

Officials mum over report Berlin may renege on sub deal
Decision to sell advanced submarine is being reconsidered in light of Israel failure to move forward on talks with Palestinian Authority.
FP: See what I mean?

J'lem sends aid as Turkey calls for pressure on Israel
First plane of earthquake relief departs for Ankara; Turkish FM Davutoglu maintains harsh rhetoric, says Turkey must "press hard" on Israel.
FP: In typical Islamist manner Turkey quite correctly sees Israel's practically begging to provide earthquake help as weakness, offering an opportunity to both exploit and attack.

Comments on reads 10/26

JoshuaPundit: Blood And Sand

Several Western observers, Michael Totten and Jonathan Foreman among them admitted being moved to pity for a moment as they saw this spectacle, but then reminded themselves what a brutal dictator Khaddaffi was and came to the conclusion that the punishment fit the crime so to speak, and was thus understandable.

With all respect to two writers who are normally extremely astute observers, I think they missed something that's worth pointing out.

Moamar Khaddafi was indeed a monster...but by our standards, not the standards of the world he lived in. That world was the culture shaped by Islam, and I have never failed to be astounded at how much of it seems to revel in cruelty and domination.

It's absurdly easy to fall into this trap with someone like Khaddaffi, who admittedly is no great loss to the world. But this kind of cultural cringe is the proverbial slippery slope and shows how poisoned our reactions and expectations are not only of Muslim nations but for Muslims who live in the West among us. If the lynching of Khaddafi had happened in America or if the Israelis had simply dragged Yasser Arafat out of the Muqata one day and strung him up, the media outcry would have been deafening. But we accept such behavior from Muslims with hardly a murmur. In our minds, they're 'supposed to act like that'. So we allow more and more trespasses on our own mores and standards and feel guilty about to defending ourselves against the most egregious assaults on our culture, and even our persons.

Even an Adolf Eichmann in Israel or Timothy McVeigh or a Ted Bundy in America rated a trial, and a judicially mandated execution at the end of it.

Believe it or not, so did Moamar Khaddaffi. And we should be saying so loudly and clearly,instead of shrugging our shoulders at yet another act of barbarity emanating from the Muslim world.

FP: The problem is not Khadafi per se, but rather the Arab/Muslim/tribal culture.

 

Matt Taibbi: Conflicts show why Fed needs transparency

The most troublesome revelation in the GAO audit is the extent to which insiders benefited from their positions and access during the crisis. The GAO found 18 instances in which banks and other companies affiliated with current and former members of the Fed received emergency loans from the board, including General Electric, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers and JP Morgan Chase.

In the case of General Electric, CEO Jeffrey Immelt served on the New York Fed, which loaned his corporation $16 billion in emergency funding during the crisis. Those loans were made after the New York Fed consulted with General Electric officials concerning creation of a Commercial Paper Funding Facility, according to Sanders.

One of Goldman Sachs’ directors, Stephen Friedman, was chairman of the board of the New York Fed. Friedman also owned substantial stock in Goldman Sachs during the same period in 2008 when the New York Fed voted to allow Goldman to operate as a commercial bank as well as an investment bank. That approval meant Goldman got access to loans from the Fed at highly favorable rates.

Fed ethics guidelines prohibit a Fed governor from owning stock in a firm being considered for commercial status, but Friedman received a waiver and continued buying Goldman stock.

As for JP Morgan Chase, CEO Jamie Dimon was on the New York Fed board when the company received $29 billion in emergency loans. In addition, Dimon was able to secure approval from the New York Fed for an 18-month exemption of his firm from risk-based leverage and capital requirements, as well as removal of certain high-risk investments on Bear Stearns’ balance sheet prior to JP Morgan Chase’s acquisition of the troubled investment bank.

FP: The corporate welfare state at its best.

 

PowerLine: The “Occupiers” Aren’t a Political Movement…

…they are a crime wave. In Oakland, battles between occupiers and police have been raging for the last 24 hours. At PJ Media’s Tatler, Zombie has an excellent collection of videos and photos which she continues to update. Dozens of videos have been posted on YouTube, pretty much all of them by sympathizers with the protesters who are claiming police brutality.

The Oakland Tribune reported a little while ago that things are now calm, but the leftists have put out a call for rioting to resume at 6 p.m. tonight.

Oakland is home to a number of radical groups, and demonstrations there have a high potential for violence. Stay tuned.

FP: I predicted that the kind of crisis and decline in which the US finds itself would trigger societal unrest. It is always the case that the radical/lunatic left and right are the first to take advantage of it, but it is an indicator of more serious, widespread and violent unrest which should not be ignored. Alas, judging from the actions of the corporate welfare state, this is exactly what it does.

 

Bret Stephens: How Many Nukes Does China Have?

Shortly after the end of the Cold War, an American defense official named Phillip Karber traveled to Russia as an advance man for a visit by former Secretary of Defense Frank Carlucci. "We were meeting with Russian generals," Mr. Karber recalls, "and we met a three-star who told us they had 40,000 warheads, not the 20,000 we thought they had." It was a stunning disclosure. At a time when legions of CIA analysts, Pentagon war-gamers and arms-control specialists devoted entire careers to estimating the size of the Soviet arsenal, the U.S. had missed the real figure by a factor of ...

FP: Now check out this:

JacksonDiehl: Having blocked action on Syria, Russia and China now trying to prevent release of UN intel on #Iran nuke weaponization http://t.co/TbCMxuir

These are the people who also estimate the Iranian nuclear program.

 

Barry Rubin: Tunisia: The ‘Moderate’ Islamists Make a Radical Revolution

Let’s be 100 percent clear here: In theory there might be such a thing as a moderate who wants more Islamic influence in political life—I can think of some very tiny groups that might be able to claim that distinction—but the party that won the Tunisian election is definitely not in that category and the same applies to the significant Islamist forces in Libya and Egypt, too.

Indeed, the winning party in Tunisia is the Muslim Brotherhood. For years, those of us who have been studying this country and movement have known this to be true. The statements by the Tunisian branch of the Brotherhood, except when they were made for Western ears explicitly, have been very hardline indeed.

Here’s the great Martin Kramer recalling why the United States refused to give Rachid Ghannouchi,  the new “moderate Islamist” leader of Tunisia, a visa in 1994. Even in the 1980s, some were calling him a “moderate” even as he supported the most extremist ideas and actions. For example, “We must wage unceasing war against the Americans until they leave the land of Islam, or we will burn and destroy all their interests across the entire Islamic world.” And here is Ghannouchi in 2001 extolling suicide bombers and advocating anti-American violence.  No one seems to believe it necessary to offer any actual evidence that he’s changed his views. He hasn’t.

Anyone claiming that this is a moderate group is either lying or has been deceived.

FP: The PostWest.

 

Lee Smith: Agents of Influence

Headlines this week may be fixated on Libya’s embrace of Sharia law and Islamists’ electoral victory in Tunisia, but if you really want to gauge what the Arab Spring has wrought, forget about the drama in Tunis and Tripoli. Consider instead the unfolding story of 27-year-old Ilan Grapel, an Israeli-American law student who has been held on charges of espionage for the past four months in Cairo.

Yesterday Israel approved a deal, seemingly hastened by the Gilad Shalit prisoner swap, which will free Grapel in exchange for 25 Egyptian prisoners. And if all goes according to plan, Grapel will be released Thursday. Some former U.S. intelligence officials believe Grapel may really have been an Israeli spy, but Israeli soldiers, never mind the Jewish state’s clandestine agents, are seldom returned alive. The Egyptians know he’s not a spy, but he’s a valuable card anyway, which is why they captured him. It is logic and behavior befitting a terrorist organization.

If Hamas and Hezbollah can get the Zionist entity to release their associates, the thinking goes, why can’t Egypt’s interim ruling body, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, do the same for Egyptian prisoners? The problem in the Middle East, then, isn’t that the Islamists are on the verge of taking over and thereby transforming Arab societies. The problem is that these societies are already governed by the passions that make the Islamists so popular.

FP: In this case the passion is colled anti-semitism and it is the single unifying force of all Arabs, be they Islamists or not, who otherwise tend to be at each other’s throat. As Smith points out:

Today, those who advocate for engagement with Islamists argue that groups like the Muslim Brotherhood and Tunisia’s Nahda Party have matured and are now willing to play by the rules and act like democrats. The Islamists may not like the West, but they have no choice but to uphold agreements and partake in the international system. On the other side of the debate, skeptics fear that the Islamists are talking out of both sides of their mouth, and once in office they’ll never willingly forsake power. But both of these arguments miss the point.

Yes, Islamism is already turning out to be the most powerful political current across the region. But the attraction of Islamism is not simply that it appeals to conservative and traditional Muslim societies, but that it draws freely on the sources of resentment that have been part of the political language of the region for more than two centuries. It was not Egypt’s Islamists who led the charge against the Israeli embassy in September, but young and nominally secular Egyptians. And it is that mob, potentially in the many millions, with whom Egypt’s ruling body was currying favor when it arrested Grapel.

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Comments on reads 10/25 II

Elliott Abrams:Israeli Settlements: Back To the Future
According to news reports, the Obama Administration has a new proposal to cope with the issue of construction in Israeli settlements. Israel would “halt the construction of new neighborhoods but could continue building in existing settlements….” The idea is that Israel would refrain from any construction outside current settlement boundaries. If there is construction only within existing settlements, there would be no American condemnations.
If this is a good idea, a decent compromise, one can only wonder why it took the Obama White House nearly three years to get there. For this policy was precisely what the Bush Administration agreed with prime ministers Sharon and Olmert.
In the early months of the Obama Administration, officials flatly denied such a deal had ever existed. In June, 2009 I wrote about this Obama error in the Wall Street Journal
And error it was: in December 2003, prime minister Sharon stated that “Israel will meet all its obligations with regard to construction in the settlements. There will be no construction beyond the existing construction line….” Had the Obama Administration realized the value of what had been achieved by its predecessors and continued the policy, we would not have endured nearly three years without any Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Nor would the administration have tried instead to impose a total construction freeze, a condition that no Israeli government could meet and that thus created a new and insuperable obstacle to negotiations.
Now, if this news story is true, the administration is moving back to the Bush position. Well, better late than never. But it is likely that the Palestinians will now call such a deal too little too late, and reject it. Perhaps, if  the Palestinian rejection is made very strongly in private, administration spokesmen will deny that any such proposal was ever made. But it ought to be made, because these terms are sensible: as long as there is construction only within built-up areas, there is no harm to Palestinians, no use of additional land, and no additional burden in future negotiations.
It would be nice if administration officials admitted that after nearly three years they had come to understand all of this, but I guess that is asking for too much. It will be quite enough if they abandon their “construction freeze” mania and move to a more practical and realistic view.
FP: Or is it forward to the past? Another American blunder from which recovery is unlikely (see next for others).

George Friedman: Libya and Iraq: The Price of Success
The strategic dimension to this is enormous. The Iranians have been developing their influence in Iraq since before 2003. They have not developed enough power to control Iraq outright. There are too many in Iraq, even among the Shia, who distrust Iranian power. Nevertheless, the Iranians have substantial influence — not enough to impose policies but enough to block any they strongly object to. The Iranians have a fundamental national security interest in a weak Iraq and in the withdrawal of American forces, and they had sufficient influence in Baghdad to ensure American requests to stay were turned down.
Syria was close to Iran before the uprising. Iran has been the most supportive of the Syrian regime. If al Assad survives this crisis, his willingness to collaborate with Iran will only intensify. In Lebanon, Hezbollah — a group the Iranians have supported for decades — is a major force. Therefore, if the U.S. withdrawal in Iraq results in substantial Iranian influence in Iraq, and al Assad doesn’t fall, then the balance of power in the region completely shifts.
This will give rise to a contiguous arc of Iranian influence stretching from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea running along Saudi Arabia’s northern border and along the length of Turkey’s southern border. Iranian influence also will impact Israel’s northern border directly for the first time

World War II was nice in that it offered a clean end — unless, of course, you consider that the Cold War and the fear of impending nuclear war immediately succeeded it. Wars rarely end cleanly, but rather fester or set the stage for the next war. We can see that clearly in Iraq. The universal congratulations on the death of Moammar Gadhafi are as ominous as all victory celebrations are, because they ignore the critical question: Now what? 
FP: The PostWest.

Turkey says 'yes' to Israeli earthquake aid offer
Defense Ministry to send plane carrying 7 mobile homes to quake-devastated province, more aid to follow; foreign ministry source warns move won't necessarily ease diplomatic tensions between countries.
FP: Appeasement of Islamists won't work. Here’s more evidence, if any were necessary:
Poll: Arab support for Assad at historic low
Arab American Institute Foundation survey finds that Arabs do not support US intervention in Syria, despite disillusionment with Assad.
Which demonstrates that nation building intervention in the Arab/Muslim world beyond hitting fast and hard to debilitate is a fool’s errand. But that does not stop Westerners:
A Fighting Chance: Why Obama's Support For Syria's Non-Violent Protests Isn't Enough by David Schenker (http://t.co/4DAVvtxt

Matt Taibbi: OWS's Beef: Wall Street Isn't Winning – It's Cheating
Cain seems like a nice enough guy, but I nearly blew my stack when I heard this. When you take into consideration all the theft and fraud and market manipulation and other evil shit Wall Street bankers have been guilty of in the last ten-fifteen years, you have to have balls like church bells to trot out a propaganda line that says the protesters are just jealous of their hard-earned money.
Think about it: there have always been rich and poor people in America, so if this is about jealousy, why the protests now? The idea that masses of people suddenly discovered a deep-seated animus/envy toward the rich – after keeping it strategically hidden for decades – is crazy.
Where was all that class hatred in the Reagan years, when openly dumping on the poor became fashionable? Where was it in the last two decades, when unions disappeared and CEO pay relative to median incomes started to triple and quadruple?

We cheer for people who hit their own home runs in this country, not shortcut-chasing juicers like Bonds and McGwire, Blankfein and Dimon.
That's why it's so obnoxious when people say the protesters are just sore losers who are jealous of these smart guys in suits who beat them at the game of life. This isn't disappointment at having lost. It's anger because those other guys didn't really win, and people now want the score overturned.
All weekend I was thinking about this “jealousy” question, and I just kept coming back to all the different ways the game is rigged. People aren't jealous and they don’t want privileges. They just want a level playing field, and they want Wall Street to give up its cheat codes, things like:
FREE MONEY … CREDIT AMNESTY … STUPIDITY INSURANCE … UNGRADUATED TAXES … GET OUT OF JAIL FREE...
And critics of OWS have assailed protesters for complaining about things like foreclosure by claiming these folks want “something for nothing.”
This is ironic because, as one of the Rolling Stone editors put it last week, “something for nothing is Wall Street’s official policy." In fact, getting bailed out for bad investment decisions has been de rigeur on Wall Street not just since 2008, but for decades.
Time after time, when big banks screw up and make irresponsible bets that blow up in their faces, they've scored bailouts. It doesn't matter whether it was the Mexican currency bailout of 1994 (when American taxpayers bailed out speculators who gambled on the peso) or the IMF/World Bank bailout of Russia in 1998 (a bailout of speculators in the "emerging markets") or the Long-Term Capital Management Bailout of the same year (in which the rescue of investors in a harebrained hedge-fund trading scheme was deemed a matter of international urgency by the Federal Reserve), Wall Street has long grown accustomed to.

The point being: we have a massive police force in America that prosecutes crime and imprisons citizens with factory-level efficiency, eclipsing the incarceration rates of most of history's more notorious police states and communist countries.
But the bankers on Wall Street don't live in that police state. There are maybe 1000 SEC agents policing that sector of the economy, plus a handful of FBI agents. There are nearly that many police officers stationed around the polite crowd at Zucotti park.
These inequities are what drive the OWS protests. People don't want handouts. It's not a class uprising and they don't want civil war -- they want just the opposite. They want everyone to live in the same country, and live by the same rules. It's amazing that some people think that that's asking a lot.
FP: The self-destruction seed built into capitalism: the kleptomanic corporate welfare state. Classic capitalism aims to reward hard work and productivity. But it devolves into a system that rewards the opposite: corruption, speculation and fraud.

Comments on reads 10/25

Martin Kramer
Rashid Ghannouchi and I go back to 1994, when he was in UK exile and I wrote a piece that kept him from getting a US visa (http://goo.gl/nlwdc). In 2006, I urged US diplomats to steer clear of him at a conference (http://goo.gl/b7nZ7). Now that he's the big winner in Tunisia's election, it's me who's unlikely to get a visa—to Tunisia. At the link, a memory refresher: Ghannouchi thanks moms of suicide bombers.
The Intifada and the Fate of Arab Regimes | Al-Jazeera via MEMRI (July 2001)
www.memri.org
"I bless the mothers who planted in the blessed land of Palestine the amazing seeds of these youths, who taught the international system and the Israeli arrogance, supported by the US, an important lesson."
FP: Persuade Westerners about Jihadis? Lost cause. Just watch the West pump millions into Sharia Tunisia. New immigration to Europe too. The whole idea is to put Islamists in power and pump them full of Jizziya to realign them with the West. Good luck with that (see next for more evidence).
I guess a civilization that does not know or want to defend itself will not survive and, whether we like it or not, does not deserve to in evolutionary terms.


JoshuaPundit: Obama DOJ Bows To Islamists, Pulls References To Islam From Security Training Manuals
This would be pathetic if it weren't so dangerous. The Obama Department Of Justice is pulling back all training materials used for law enforcement and national security communities in order to eliminate all references to Islam:…

Dwight C. Holton, the U.S. Attorney in Oregon told the Soros galley slaves over at Talking Points Memo that he had spoken with Holder directly about the the “egregiously false” training that took place at the FBI’s training headquarters at Quantico and at a U.S. Attorney’s office in Pennsylvania.

This sort of sensitivity even embraces terrorists. Holton boasted that when he made the announcement of the arrest of the “Christmas tree bomber” Mohamed Osman Mohamud in 2010, he never mentioned a thing about The Religion of Peace. “In the 37-page complaint that laid out the allegations against Mohamed Mohamud, he is never once identified as a Muslim. We were very careful about that. It’s not relevant from our perspective, what’s relevant is the violence,” Holton said. “Every time I opened my mouth about that case, I said maybe two or three main points and one of them is ‘violence knows no country, no religion, no boundaries’,” Holton said.
Yes, we're simply overwhelmed with Jewish, Buddhist and Christian terrorists. Gotta keep an eye on them.
This is a man in charge of prosecuting terrorist cases in America.You're paying this clueless dhimmi's salary, folks.
FP: See what I mean?

Elder of Ziyon: 'We'd rather do it ourselves'
Israel is a leader - in this region and perhaps worldwide the leader - in technology and equipment for extracting people from destroyed buildings, in setting up field hospitals quickly, and in many other fields that are relevant to countries suffering from natural disasters.

On Sunday, there was an earthquake at a location that is a 1.5-hour flight from Israel. Israel offered to assist. Turkey said no
But Israel Radio reports that Turkey has accepted assistance - from Iran and Azerbaijan, who are world experts in... nothing.
Is Turkey that stubborn? Look at a map. The quake area is described as 'southeastern Turkey along the Iranian border.' On this map, that area is part of what is labeled Kurdistan. Could it be that Turkey would rather 'lose' a few more Kurds as earthquake casualties? Could it be that Turkey fears contact between Israelis and other international rescuers and its Kurdish population for fear of what they might learn is really going on in Kurdistan? Could it be that Turkey fears Kurdistan will gain international support if rescuers go there?
I'd bet on it.
FP: Good bet. Haaretz special report: Turks frustrated by government's earthquake response
Despite the relative calm, many residents are complaining over the fact that the rescue efforts are “not serious."
Dugan Yalma, who witnessed rescue workers attempting to pull people out of a collapsed building in the heart of Van, and who was unaware that he was speaking to an Israeli reporter, told Haaretz that “there are simply not enough professionals. They work without careful handling. I do not understand why more international crews have not arrived. The Israelis have an excellent rescue team, why isn’t [Prime Minister] Erdogan allowing them to come?”
Yeah, that’s the Islamic model that should be followed.

Daniel Indiviglio: The Senate Moves to Subsidize Homes for the Rich
Anyone who hoped that we would begin to see how the mortgage market might function with a tiny bit less government support should be pretty disappointed today. The Senate approved a measure that would reinstate the high-cost mortgage limits that expired on September 30th. The move seeks to ensure that relatively affluent Americans will get slightly cheaper mortgages, while keeping the training wheels on the housing finance market.
For anyone who hasn't been following along, here's a detailed explanation. For a quick refresher, the government agreed to back bigger mortgages in 2008 when the credit markets froze up. At that time through September of this year, the mortgage limit was 125% of the metro area's median home price in 2007 or $729,750, whichever was smaller. Prior to this jump, the limit was set at just $417,000. As of this month, that limit declined to 115% of the metro area's median home price in 2010 or $625,500, whichever is smaller.
You can see that this policy is specifically geared towards relatively expensive mortgages. It isn't meant to lend a helping hand to Americans on the cusp of home ownership. It isn't even meant to assist the average homeowner, who will have an income above the metro area's average. In any city, those who raising the limit would benefit will be relatively affluent. The old limits should be allowed to expire.

So we'll have to wait and see how this turns out, but we may see these limits reinstated after all. This demonstrates the tremendous power of the real estate lobby. It also shows the grim fate of housing finance policy reform: if Congress isn't even willing to cut the government's guarantee for relatively rich people, then broader reform is doomed. But on the bright side, the mortgage for that McMansion you have your eye on could be a little cheaper later this year.
FP: The logical conclusion of the corporate welfare state.

CHART: Number Of Volunteers Performing Police Duties Triples
Volunteer civilians are increasingly filling police roles and nearly 12,000 police officers and sheriff's deputies will be laid off by the end of the year as local law enforcement agencies deal with budget cuts, according to a new report from DOJ's Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS) program. The study also shows the first-ever national decrease in law enforcement positions in the 25 years they've been collecting data.
'Across the country, mayors, sheriffs, and chiefs have been asked - not only to do more with less - but also to make painful budgetary cuts,' Attorney General Eric Holder said in a speech on Monday. 'According to a new economic outlook report that our COPS office released this week - we expect that, by the end of this year, nearly 12,000 police officers and sheriff's deputies will have been laid off.'
According to the study:
By the end of the year, it's expected that nearly 12,000 police officers and sheriff's deputies will have been laid off.
Approximately 30,000 law enforcement jobs are unfilled.
An estimated 28,000 officers and deputies have faced week-long furloughs in 2010.
An estimated 53 percent of counties are working with fewer staff today than just one year ago.
2011 could produce the first national decline in law enforcement officer positions in at least the last 25 years.
Some agencies, the report finds 'have stopped responding to all motor vehicle thefts, burglar alarms, and non-injury motor vehicle accidents.' Overall, agencies have 'reported decreases in investigations of property crimes, fugitive tracking, a variety of white collar crimes, and even low-level narcotics cases.'
FP: Can you guess where this is going?