FP: I don’t know if all the details are true, but if they are, they validate my long time analysis of Obama’s ME strategy to realign the US with the Islamists.
Any short term compromise between the army and the MB will only permit MB to do what Islamists do best: Islamize the state institutions, media, education and the military (see Turkey) and I think it will be easier and faster in Egypt than in Turkey. Whatever prerogatives the army preserves for now, Egypt will become an Islamist state.
In fact, I don’t know if “become” is accurate, because if the account of the size of the win by Morsi, and given previous parliamentary elections results suggests that, Egypt was and is an Islamist society already, except that Mubarak and the army prevented a regime reflecting that.
One other observation, not new either: the US simply does not learn from mistakes. It keeps repeating them over and over regardless of how many times they proved to be mistakes.
Egypt's Supreme Council of the Armed forces, the military junta running the country finally announced the 'results' of the recent presidential run off election. After some dancing around, they finally named the Muslim Brotherhood's Mohammed Morsi as Egypt's new president...by a narrow 51.7%, a three point spread. If this suggests a cynical deal to you between the Islamists (who almost certainly won by a greater margin) and the Army, you're absolutely correct.
The back story on this is absolutely incredible. So is the Obama Administration's direct involvement.
As you know President Obama has long been sympathetic to the Muslim Brotherhood. There are several influential people in his administration with Muslim Brotherhood ties like senior White House adviser Dalia Mogahed and U.S. Ambassador to the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) Rashad Hussain, among others.
The Administration's support for the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood was so all encompassing that our Department of Justice deliberately allowed major officials of Muslim Brotherhood fronts like CAIR and the North American Islamic Trust (NAIT) who were directly linked to material support for Islamist terrorism in the Holy Land Foundation trial to go free in what were virtually open and shut cases by filing motions of Disinclination to Prosecute.
The Muslim Brotherhood has a friendly ear in the White House and here's how they used it.
You may remember a story that briefly surfaced last week about an Egyptian Islamist who was invited to the White House named Hani Nour Eldin. Eldin is an Islamist member of the Egyptian Parliament who belongs to an officially designated terrorist group, Gamaa Islamiya. Those in the media who bothered to cover this were wondering why someone like this not only got a visa in defiance of U.S. law, but a White House invite to a sit down with what were described as 'high-level advisers'.
The answer is simple. Eldin's trip, authorized by the White House, was made after the SCAF dissolved the newly elected Egyptian parliament, the assumption by the junta of legislative authority and the announced delay in declaring the winner of the Egyptian presidential run off between the Brotherhood's Mohammed Morsi and the army's candidate, Ahmed Shafik.
According to my sources, Hani Nour Eldin was the chosen ambassador of the Egyptian Islamists to the White House sent to ask for their assistance in getting the junta to turn over power to them, and the story that he came here to ask for clemency for Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian cleric convicted of involvement in the first World Trade Center bombing in 1992 is simply misleading nonsense.
The Army was already aware that Shafik had lost handily to the Islamists, and the steps they had taken, which included declaring martial law, were designed to hang on to power and their prerogatives.
What happened next was an elaborate three way dance between the Egyptian military junta, the Muslim Brotherhood and the Obama Administration.
Egypt is heavily dependent on U.S. aid and is in the process of negotiating a desperately needed loan from the IMF. In fact, one of the reasons for the trumped up dissolution of parliament was a disagreement between the junta and the Islamist over whom was going to control the funds from the IMF loan once it went through.
The Obama Administration apparently acted as the muscle for the Brotherhood, threatening the junta with the possible loss of all U.S. aid and the torpedoing of the IMF loan unless they relinquished power to the Brotherhood and worked out something acceptable. At that point, the junta and the Brotherhood began serious negotiations.
What apparently has resulted is that Morsi and the Brotherhood will take over as civilian leaders, but without a parliament and with limited powers. In exchange, the Brotherhood has apparently decided to allow the military to hang on to some of its power and avoid an open confrontation in the streets - for now.
Morsi made perfunctory mentions of being the President of 'all Egypt' which some people have taken to mean that Egypt's Christian Copts and Egypt's women are going to have democratic rights. Watch and see how many Copts end up fleeing Egypt within a year's time.
U.S. President Barack Obama called Morsi to congratulate him and pledge to "support Egypt's transition to democracy and stand by the Egyptian people as they fulfill the promise of the revolution." Translation.. the aid check's on the way. Not only are we now funding Hamas, but we'll be funding their parent organization in Egypt.
President Obama's strategy - if it can be called that - is to appease and assist the Muslim Brotherhood at every turn because he imagines that these are jihadists whom can be 'worked with'. He couldn't be more wrong, and subsequent events are going to bear that out.
This is a much bigger event than people in the West realize.